Here is the bottom line. We need to finish the job. Rather than blow the rest of Iran into kingdom come, Trump decided to allow simple economics to run its course. Even if Iran capitulates, it will take a long, long time for things to return to normal in Iran. For us? Normal will come in a few weeks or a couple of months.
Ever play a game of chicken when you were younger? The who is going to blink first game. Yes, I know. Many times, it was a foolish game in which somebody could have gotten hurt - maybe hurt bad. But that was then and this is now. We don't play chicken anymore - or do we?
Don't look now, but our war with Iran has turned into a global war of chicken. In other words, who is going to squeal first. Iran, who is about to lose their entire oil industry, or the western world (including us) who are getting smacked with Biden style high gas prices. All because Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz and the US has led a blockade of Iranian ports. But here is the rub - Iran's wells are still pumping and the ability to store that oil is running short. When everything in Iran is filled up, the Iranian wells will stop pumping. And that could ruin them for future production.
BTW - Iran knows that. They know they are gambling with their future. Their hope is that the price of oil will blow past $120/barrel, and race towards $200/barrel. Then the west (particularly the Americans) will squeal like stuck pigs and demand that we stop this war and accept Iran's terms for peace. That would mean allowing Iran to continue on with their nuclear research. That would mean, maybe Iran gets a nuclear bomb sooner rather than later. That would mean, another North Korea type of nuclear power in the world. Not good.
Also, it goes without too much saying, that Iran's entire economy is on the robes. Not just in one metric, but in all of them. On the other hand, in America, the land of "first world" problems, many are starting to squeal like pigs over gas prices being in the $4/gal and up region. Even knowing that in a couple of weeks Iran might bend to the pressure of losing their oil production and give up their enriched uranium. But we are pansies. We are not like the sacrificial Americans from World War II. We want our low gas prices back to we can play with our jet skis and pull our RVs.
Here is the bottom line. We need to finish the job. Rather than blow the rest of Iran into kingdom come, Trump decided to allow simple economics to run its course. Even if Iran capitulates, it will take a long, long time for things to return to normal in Iran. For us? Normal will come in a few weeks or a couple of months. Then our gas prices will be back where we want them, and Iran will have ridded themselves of the menace of the IRGC. If we can just tough it out for a bit longer, it will be a happy ending for all.
