"Will this be the end of Russia? Probably not - but it might be the end of Putin. Putin, who decided to take on history, might find out that history will not be kind to him. Nor should it be. With blood dripping from his fingers, Putin has nothing to offer the world. Not - one - thing."
Rule One - in today's world, very few international things happen by accident. Most drip with intentionality. When Russia has some drones or cruise missiles which just so happen to stray over borders into NATO land, that is no accident. For Russia to say otherwise is BS all in capitals. Then why in the world, after getting his butt handed to him by Ukraine, would Putin desire another fight? Especially with a much stronger organization like NATO? Pure and simple - Putin is a megalomaniac. Just like Hitler, Putin is a megalomaniac.
First the battle over Ukraine. ICYMI, Putin is about to lose control over Crimea. Remember Crimea? The part of Ukraine which Putin illegally annexed during the Barry Obama administration? Why bring up Obama? Because we did NOTHING to stop Putin from this brazen example of adventurism. But that was 2014. Today, because Russia has grown weaker and Ukraine stronger, Ukraine stands ready to right this wrong from 2014. And after Crimea goes back to Ukraine, the Donbas Region of Ukraine will be next to return to Ukraine. Plus, if Russia is not careful, Ukraine might end up taking part of Russia.
But NATO - that is something different to Putin. First and foremost, Putin hates NATO and everything it stands for. The Soviet Union should have NEVER lost to NATO in the first place. Whereas getting Ukraine back in the Russian fold was just something which needed to be done, giving NATO a black eye (or worse), is something which is long overdue. And Poland, that pesky nation of Poland - they should be the first to go. What to the Poles think about that? Bring it on, Putin. The animosity Putin has for Poland is only eclipsed by the unbridled hatred that Poland has for Russia.
Here is the truth as I see it from my perch. When big, bad Russia decided to invade Ukraine and make short work of this neighboring country, Russia made one huge error. They showed the world they are a paper tiger. But they are a paper tiger with nukes. If Russia did not have nukes, they would be nothing more than a nothing burger. Besides the pain, injury, death and cost this war has meant to Ukraine, one thing positive did come out of it. They became a modern-day version of The Mouse that Roared. In less than five years, Ukraine has gone from a bunch of farmers and accountants, to one of the premier drone manufacturers in the world. And with those drones, they are kicking Russia's butt each day, every day.
If Russia does take a swing at NATO, the first thing which will probably happen is Russia will lose Kaliningrad. That is a cold hard fact. Kaliningrad sits on a perch right now which is precarious at best. But there is another huge problem for Putin. His country is starting to hate him for what he has done to Russia during this war with Ukraine. It was bad enough when tens of thousands of Russia's young men were dying in Ukraine, but now the war has come home to Russia. Ukraine can reach deep into Russia. To muster any stomach by the Russian people to put up with a war with NATO might be a bridge too far for Putin. Plus, unlike Ukraine, NATO also has nukes.
Will this be the end of Russia? Probably not - but it might be the end of Putin. Putin, who decided to take on history, might find out that history will not be kind to him. Nor should it be. With blood dripping from his fingers, Putin has nothing to offer the world. Not - one - thing.
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