"Getting the new (and rightful) government in Venezuela would be huge win for the good guys. And the baddies? Go be bad someplace else. This is our hemisphere. This is the new Monroe Doctrine."
Ever since I was in high school, I have noticed this. Good guys seemed to flock together. And by the same token, so did bad guys (also known as baddies). It is the same today. Oil is leaving Venezuela to be part of the Russian sanctioned oil, or to go to Iran. Wait - what? Iran? I thought we took care of them. We did. With our B-2 bombers. But even though Theran has run out of water and that country is in a world of hurt, they are spending scarce resources on reconstituting their ballistic missiles.
Israel is well aware of this. As are we. In fact, Israel is so worried, Netanyahu is coming to Washington later this month to have talks will Trump. It is anticipated that the talks will be about a number of things, but what to do about Iran might be at the top of the list. In fact, after we bombed Iran's underground nuke facilities, we gave ourselves the option of bombing Iran again should they misbehave.
Any oil which comes out of Venezuela and is headed for sale to help Russia - only prolongs the war effort in Ukraine. We have already taken over two illicit vessels coming out of Venezuela (flying false flags), and on the news this morning, it was reported that we were in chase of a third ship. When we commandeer these ships, it not only hurts Putin's war effort, but also starves Maduro.
How long can this go on before push comes to shove in the Caribbean? My sense is not too long. Either a hot war will break out with the Venezuelan Navy, or Maduro would step down. Then the rightful winner of the last election could be sworn in. That is the best possible scenario. Have a hot war would not be good, but it would not last long. We have Maduro way, way overmatched with our forces down there. The Venezuelan Navy would not stand a chance.
Once Maduro leaves, the other baddies will also be forced to leave Venezuela. This is high stakes poker, even for Trump. But this is an important gambit. It is all related - Russia, Iran and our war on drugs. Getting the new (and rightful) government in Venezuela would be huge win for the good guys. And the baddies? Go be bad someplace else. This is our hemisphere. This is the new Monroe Doctrine.
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