Wednesday, September 7, 2022

Do we really have enough?






"I have said this many times before, and it bears repeating now. This country will evolve from fossil fuels to electric, hydrogen, better nuclear, and solar. It will happen. When? When it is ready. And it is not ready yet."


Okay. Now we have done it. We are heading pell mell down the road to an all electric vehicle future. Are we really ready for it? Ah - that would be a big NO. We are so far from ready, it is not even the least bit funny. How so? According to a recent study done by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and published in InsideEV, we are coming up against a serious cap in 2028. In other words, if we have more than 24 million EVs at that point, our national power grid will not be able to handle it. Ouch.

There are other factors also. Like, the size of the battery needed in EV trucks is bigger. Takes more juice. The weather is a factor. Some researchers in MN are concerned that the current battery technology will not do well in a frigid MN winter. And then there is the cluster of charging stations. Will a city like LA be able to handle tens of thousands of EV charging at the same time, when the global warming heat wave is hitting 98 degrees?

I heard one engineer (who seemed smarter than the rest) on a YouTube channel a while ago, saying out only way out is having lots and lots of nuclear power stations, nationwide. The new technology in building nuke plants is very smart - smaller, cleaner, and safer. Should be no reason to have a 20 year planning and build cycle to build a nuke plant. 

Plus - if we are truly going to have that many EVs in the near future, we better get humping on those EV charging stations. BTW - for those who like to have a charging station in their garage, time to open up that 401K account. They are pricey. And the cost to daily charge that EV - goes right on your electric bill. 

I have said this many times before, but it bears repeating now. This country will evolve from fossil fuels to electric, hydrogen, better nuclear, and solar. It will happen. When? When it is ready. And it is not ready yet. We still have cleanest way to extract fossil fuels - anywhere. A good Secretary of Energy would be managing this logical (and lengthy) transition to other fuels. 

Rushing this transition would be like cooking a good steak for only two minutes. Or making an award winning Eggs Benedict in 10 seconds. Neither would work well. In fact, they would both be disasters. Forcing EVs on a country which is not yet equipped for them, would also be a disaster. Just saying... 

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