Friday, June 27, 2025

Iran: Trust them, trust them not

 




"Who is the head of the snake? Who is the scorpion who would bite anyone just to kill them? Even if it meant their own destruction. I think we all know the answer to those questions. It is time for a change Iran. Time to rejoin the 21st century." 



I am reminded of an old fable. Once, a flood was coming and was going to kill everything which could not swim. A turtle was going to leave the shore and swim for dryer land. A scorpion, who could not swim, asked the turtle if he could ride on his back. The turtle, who was kind, said the scorpion could hop on. About halfway to freedom, the scorpion stung the turtle on his head. The turtle in his dying breath, asked the scorpion why he did that, because now they both would die. The scorpion said he could not help it - it was in his nature. And they both died - the turtle from the scorpion bite, and the scorpion from drowning.

Why tell this old tale. Because it reminds me of Iran. Even though Iran has been defeated, and the nuclear threat is over - is it? Or has it just been delayed? Or is it within Iran's nature to cheat. 

Iran is a snake. Can't trust them. They will lie to us through their teeth. But then, how can we work with them? How can we make sure they will not get fissionable material from another bad actor like North Korea, Pakistan, or China? Iran is a big country, with lots of places to hide stuff. And all it takes is enough refined uranium to make one small nuke, put it on top of a Fattah - 1 hypersonic missile, and Israel suffers a catastrophic blow.

Any peace agreement with Iran should contain the following conditions:

1) Supervised destruction of any remaining enrichment equipment and material.

2) Destruction of all remaining rockets and drones.

3) Unscheduled inspections by the US, Israel or the IAEA.

4) A written and formal declaration that Israel has a right to exist. Israel is recognized as a       sovereign state.

In the absence of those conditions, Iran remains a loose cannon. Do I trust them? About as much as I trust a coiled snake. Do I trust the IRGC? Even less. The Mullahs? Even less. I know President Trump did not care about regime change in Iran, but until that happens, the trust factor with this current regime is about zero.

Who is the head of the snake? Who is the scorpion who would bite anyone just to kill them? Even if it meant their own destruction. I think we all know the answer to those questions. It is time for a change Iran. Time to rejoin the 21st century. 




 

   

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