Friday, May 11, 2018

Meanwhile, back on the (tech) farm





"Many tech gurus believe that in a scant 6 1/2 years, all these developing technologies will be fully developed and scalable and in 'go to market' format. We will truly be living in the Brave New World we have heard about for decades."  


Right now, many ethical minded people are wondering if AI is going to be a good thing or Frankenstein's Monster. It is true there is quite a bit going on with AI right now. For those who own Alexa or something similar, that is only a small fraction of this developing technology. Seems that every month, Alexa has more capabilities. But hold on. AI is only one of the many new technologies which has gone from a trot to an all out gallop. For example, I will address what is happening in IoT (Internet of Things).

I have told this story before. The first company I worked for, Sperry Univac (1975-1980), had a futurist on staff. What a dream job, I would always think when I would hear him talk. Anyhow, he had predicted the home computer LONG before we all had one. He also predicted the home computer would be hooked up with many elements in the home. Yes, this man was talking about the Internet of Things (IoT), long before it became trendy or possible.

US Companies like Intel are off and running on this exciting new venture. Why is it exciting? For starters, the sky is the limit. First, setting up an environment for IoT would entail getting connectable things hooked up with connectable things. That population is still relatively small. But the opportunity comes from getting things which are not connectable, and then making them so. This would allow just about everything from transportation, to energy, to healthcare, to logistics, to whatever - all be tied together. Then all that data from this "collective" would be transmitted up into your personal cloud. We will all be awash with data which concerns every possible corner of our lives.

Sound "heady"? Yes, it does to me also. But this stuff is real, and becoming more real every year. Just hop on Intel, or some other tech giant's web page. They are going all out to get all in on this technology. And rest assured that tech giants in India, China, and Japan are doing the same.

The year 2025 will be very interesting if we don't blow ourselves up first. Many tech gurus believe that in a scant 6 1/2 years, all these developing technologies will be fully developed, scalable. and in a "go to market" condition. We will truly be living in the Brave New World we have heard about for decades.  


4 comments:

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  2. All the major economies in the world understand the strategic importance of artificial intelligence in empowering and transforming economic growth in the coming decades.
    China is no exception. In July 2017, China’s State Council laid out an ambitious AI strategic plan to create a domestic 1 trillion yuan (US$147.80 billion) AI industry and make China the world’s leading AI innovation centre by 2030.
    Although too early to say if China will succeed, all the factors seem to be in China’s favour, such as market readiness, start-up money, talent, and supportive government policies and budget.
    In addition, this month, the Ministry of Education launched a five-year AI talent training programme, under which at least 500 teachers and 5,000 students will be trained at top universities.
    The Chinese not only have a strategy, they have a track record of delivering on large-scale, ambitious projects.
    Chinese users are willing to trade their personal privacy data for convenience or safety. It’s not an explicit process, but it’s a cultural element.
    The US will be able to watch and learn from the Chinese, while we're trying to teach our children the basics.
    I know you don't like to hear it, but the 21st Century will belong to China. It's just the nature of things.
    We had our 15 minutes of fame, now it's China and India's turn.

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    1. I believe you to be 50% spot on. The Chinese want in the strongest terms, to be the economic super giant this century. The Indians are very hard working, ambitious people. I just don't think they have the horsepower to take over our spot as yet.

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    2. In 2014, the State Council, China’s governing cabinet, publicly called for the establishment of a nationwide tracking system to rate the reputations of individuals, businesses, and even government officials.
      The aim is for every Chinese citizen to be trailed by a file compiling data from public and private sources by 2020, and for those files to be searchable by fingerprints and other biometric characteristics.
      The State Council calls it a “credit system that covers the whole society.”
      For the Chinese Communist Party, social credit is an attempt at a softer, more invisible authoritarianism. The goal is to nudge people toward behaviors ranging from energy conservation to obedience to the Party.
      While some might view China’s Social Credit System as something out of dystopian fiction, if properly implemented the system can have positive impacts – especially when used to keep government officials and business owners accountable.
      Most pilot schemes target companies as stringently as individuals. Firms with a history of environmental damage or product safety concerns are now regularly exposed on online blacklists.
      Government officials can also be found on online blacklists.
      As of December 2017, more than 1,100 government officials had been blacklisted as untrustworthy.
      Such a move to expose corruption is arguably more beneficial to Chinese society than public shaming of jaywalkers.
      i wish we had the same system. But our culture will never allow it. But hopefully we can learn from their experiences.

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