Thursday, January 4, 2018

I Robot - coming soon!





"In seven years, when 2025 rolls around, I believe we are going to see changes we can't even imagine right now."



This is a bad news story for those who are afraid of the future. However, for those who embrace change, love technology, this is mother's milk. Today in the news was yet another story about the coming of robots and AI to ease our burdens. Not only ease our burdens, but do the mundane jobs which always seem to fall to the bottom. And for those who are fans of the bottom jobs getting $15/hour? Better wake up and smell the coffee.

Next week is the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. It is when all the new toys get trotted out. LG Electronics out of South Korea wants to be an early leader in robotics. So, they will showcase three of their concept robots at the show to see what people think. Why robotics you may ask, when LG Electronics has captured so many other markets?

In seven years, when 2025 rolls around, I believe we are going to see changes we can't even imagine right now. LG Electronics can see the handwriting on the wall. With 800 million people in the world (about 1/8 of the world's population) having jobs which could be replaced by robot technology, that is a whole lot of cheddar for companies like LG Electronics.

Here is the rub. If LG Electronics can see this change coming, so can many other tech firms in California, New York, Washington state, China, Japan, and India. Get the picture? As we saw in the movie Passengers, the bar tending was done by a robot with an AI component. Far fetched? Maybe - or maybe not. 

In my working days, I was assigned to a project when I worked in advanced programs. This project dealt with robotics. Mind you, this was over 25 years ago. DARPA wanted to build a robotic arm which had all the functions of a human arm. The company I work for was responsible for the hand portion. Back then small servo motors and accelerometers could control this piece of machinery to either hold and egg without breaking it, or grasp a 60 lb weight firmly enough without dropping it. It was nothing less than jaw dropping. I can only imagine what that technology is like today. 

Are we entering a brave new world? I believe so. In seven years when 2025 rolls around, I believe we are going to see changes we can't even imagine right now. The folks at the bottom who work unskilled positions? We need to have training ready for them to go into jobs which don't even exist right now. If we don't? Then having an unemployment rate of a constant 25% might be the new norm. And that is not good for anyone. 

4 comments:

  1. We could use a robot at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.....
    45’s decline is very much interfering with his daily functioning — and thus, that his cognitive impairment is likely progressing toward dementia. Meanwhile, 45’s disjointed, superlative-suffused rhetorical style is no deliberate affectation — but rather, a product of cognitive decline — is readily apparent to anyone who watches decades-old interviews of young Donald, in which he displays an equanimity, coherence, and (relative) eloquence wholly alien to his current persona.

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    1. I guess at our age David, I am not throwing any stones...

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    2. I am acutely aware of cognitive decline. I watched my brother descend into the madness of dementia.
      Every time I forget something, I think, is this the beginning of the long road down.
      Watching it in the POTUS is another story. I see the similarities to the "mad King George" in 45. His base may have had it right by electing someone to drain the swamp and MAGA, they just chose the wrong person to do it.
      Hilary was as unacceptable a candidate as any, and I couldn't vote for her. 2 party politics in a country with as many qualified people as we have is the problem.

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  2. 45 falls from a 50-story building.
    As he flies by the 25th floor, someone asks how it’s going.
    “So far, so good!” he says.

    Eventually, he’ll hit the ground, and assuming America survives, there should be a reckoning to dwarf the defenestration of Harvey Weinstein and his fellow ogres.
    45 has no executive function, no ability to process information or weigh consequences.
    Expecting him to act in the country’s interest is like demanding that your cat do the dishes.

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