Sunday, November 17, 2019

The Technological Singularity of 2025






"For those who love change, these will be wonderful days. For those who either hate change or fear it, the next five years are going to be very tough."


Some of my more conservative friends are worried. Why? That many people who have only been paying half attention (or no attention at all), are going to be in for a shell shock when the IG Report comes out. That, plus the criminal investigation that AG Barr is doing on the run up to the 2016 election, could put some citizens in a catatonic state. I share some of that concern, but not much. My major concern is how we will handle the year 2025. Very few people have a clue in what is coming at us in five short years.

Just because it is such weird science to me, I have been watching more YouTube videos, and reading more articles on quantum computing, and how it will interact with AI. How weird is quantum computing? And important part this science is called quantum entanglement (don't ask me to explain what that is!). When Albert Einstein was asked about the theory of quantum entanglement years ago, he called it "spooky action at a distance". Guess what? It is, and now it is for real. The Chinese have already experimented with it. In fact, the Chinese want to be world leaders in both quantum computing, as well as Machine Learning AI.

The Technological Singularity will happen if all this good stuff, all of a sudden becomes not so good stuff, and then gets away from us. It will quickly take us from science to science fiction. But here is the irony. Some of our Captains of Industry have warned us about AI, but - they are part of the crowd which is going pell-mell to developing it. 

Lockheed Martin is already using a rudimentary form of quantum computing to test the weapon systems on the F-35 fighter. Many households already have a rudimentary form of AI in them. Hello, Siri, Alexa and Cortana. But those devices are nothing. From January of 2020 until December 2025, so many things will change, particularly in AI, it could make you dizzy.

The battlefield will change. Laser weapons will no longer be rare nor experimental. They will be on ships, on mobile trucks, and on planes. The next generation fighters will be going through testing. They will be hypersonic and many will not require a pilot. Rail guns will be on the battlefield. They will have the ability to fire a projectile 100 miles, at mach 7 or greater. Drones will be so small, they will be able to hunt and kill the enemy without them even knowing they are being hunted.

By 2025, our Moon will be like Grand Central Station. Mars will be the next big thing, and many countries will have already send unmanned rovers to the Red Planet. The asteroids will be looked upon as a mining opportunity for rare earths. More and more start ups will join the fray - many of them trying to capture the same lightening in the bottle that Musk and Bezos did.

Our workplace will look nothing like today. It is estimated that 4,000,000 additional robots will be doing warehouse duty by 2025. Many jobs that will exist in 2025 do not exist today. AI, IT, Internet of Things integration, plus all types of engineering, will still be the hot tickets. Unskilled labor will be nothing more than road kill on the road to progress. 

If you get a chance, go on some of these futurist sites to see what the common thinking is for the next five years. It is all very similar. For those who love change, these will be wonderful days. For those who either hate change or fear it, the next five years are going to be very tough.

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