Wednesday, December 13, 2023

As the world keeps turning...



"It will not be outsourcing to China which will steal our jobs - it will be technology. How will things look in 2030? Very different, I am sure."


Each day, every day, the Earth makes one revolution. We have a morning, afternoon, evening and nighttime. Multiply that revolution 365 times or so, and you have the Earth making one full trip around the sun. Spring, summer, fall and winter. Why bring this up? Because each day, more and more things are being invented to make our lives easier. More and more changes are made - and more are coming. Soon, every year will be wildly different from any past year. And in 2023, we are just on the cusp of that big change. In fact, 2023 might be our last "semi-normal" year.

Many years ago, when Alvin Toffler wrote his book Future Shock, he addressed how hard rapid change will be for us. Truthfully, I don't think Toffler had a clue on how much change we would be experiencing by 2023. And as 2023 is getting ready to turn into 2024, major changes are knocking at our door.

I think the biggest change we will see in the new year is how quantum computing is going to change so many things. It is so different than our current computer models, that twenty years ago, if you tried to explain this type of computing to the average person, they would look at you like you were on drugs. It would make no sense. None. But today it does make sense. And it is going to change everything. Especially when it is married up with AI. How much will it change things? Right now, with a handful of qubits. quantum computing can do wonderful and amazing things. More so than regular computing. But by 2030, having a quantum computer with over 100,000 qubits will be quite possible - and it will be able to do what today, is impossible.

Robots. Don't look now, but robots are already starting to take over some of our labor-intensive jobs. The other day, Tesla just rolled out its newest version of its bot. It is called Optimus and is quite an improvement since the first Tesla bot called Optis. Optimus is looking more human and is able to do more human like movements. Disney is also making a small robot and putting some basic AI in it. The point of all this, is robotics which at one time was a "black box" science, is now going to proliferate all over our fruited plain. In fact, it will be hard to find an industry where some kind of robotics is not involved.

Still worried about 5G communications? Don't be, because in six short years, we will have 6G as our norm. As much as 5G is changing things with its super short latency time, 6G will do the same. It will be lightning fast. It is expected to transmit data at speeds up to one terabyte per second. That is a huge improvement over 5G, as 5G was a huge improvement over 4G. Buckle up folks - speed will be the name of the game for the rest of this decade.

One final note. Many of us have noticed how things have changed since the Floyd riots and the pandemic. Fewer and fewer workers. Well - get used to it. It will not be outsourcing to China which will steal our jobs - it will be technology. Our biggest problem might be too much leisure time.

How will things look in 2030? Very different, I am sure. But I am not a futurist, so that is as far as I can go in explaining it.     



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