Will Ukraine be the match which lights the fire?

"There is no place on Earth right now which is more of a tender box than Ukraine is. Our latest shipment of weapons to Ukraine caused Putin's temperature to rise even more. What will Putin settle for to end the war? My guess is keeping Crimea and also the Donbas Region of Eastern Ukraine. Even if that could bring an end to this terrible war, it is doubtful that Ukraine would cede that much territory."

I have addressed this issue before. There are parts of the EU and NATO which have pretty much had it with the world's bad boy - Vladimir Putin. What Putin has shown the world with his invasion of Ukraine, has shocked most of us. But for some in Europe, the shock is over. Now they are steamed. How so? Macron of France has recently come out and said that France is willing to "shield" Europe with 300 French nukes. Like, where did that come from? Macron is tired of Putin always threatening NATO with nukes. France can do that also.

And Poland. Poland has been invaded too many times in its history. Now President Duda has made it crystal clear to Russia, that if they come over Polish borders, they will receive much more than they can give. Poland had come a long way in modernizing their military. And with much of Russia's military being chewed up in the Ukraine War, Duda is feeling very emboldened. 

My fear with the Ukraine War is simply this - the longer it goes on, the more it attrits the Russian Army, the better chances that Putin will resort to something unthinkable. Article 5 of NATO be damned, Putin might make a play for more of Europe. It that brings the United States into the fray, so be it. Plus - Putin might be tempted to use some of his tactical nukes. That will be a red line that once crossed, there is no going back.

Donald Trump had it right when asked about the Ukraine War. "I just want the killing to stop". This war of attrition has been a killing machine. Hundreds of thousands of Russians and Ukrainians lie dead in the battlefield. President Zelenskyy has been very clear in the past what Ukraine wants. Ukraine does not want any Russian territory, but Ukraine does want all of Ukraine back. That includes the port city of Crimea.

There is no place on Earth right now which is more of a tender box than Ukraine is. Our latest shipment of weapons to Ukraine caused Putin's temperature to rise even more. What will Putin settle for to end the war? My guess is keeping Crimea and also the Donbas Region of Eastern Ukraine. Even if that could bring an end to this terrible war, it is doubtful that Ukraine would cede that much territory. 

Both the UN and the US have done little to bring resolution to this bloody conflict. With all this gas on the floor, a lit match falling to the ground is all it takes. Should Europe devolve into another bloody war, the Rubican will have been crossed. If cooler heads don't prevail, France and Poland might be next for Putin.