Coming up - War with China?

"One final thought. If Taiwan decides to fight to the finish like Ukraine is doing, there will not be much left of Taiwan once it is over. The world semi-conductor business will be in a tailspin. And with that industry, goes the world economy."

I have been reading many articles on Taiwan as of late, mostly from different sources. They all say about the same thing. War with China is not only probable, but maybe even inevitable. Are we ready for it? Absolutely not! Is China ready for it? This is what they have been training for. While our attention has been focused on the proxy war in Ukraine, China is all in for taking Taiwan back - by force.

On this news this morning, was a Taiwan expert I have not heard before. He had an interesting take on Taiwan, which was not much different than the analysis I have seen from other sources. "This will be a war like no other", he started out by saying. "It is not one we cannot "sleepwalk" into, and expect to do well. Even if we are fully prepared, and trained for this war, the cost to our nation will still be very high. Recent war gaming suggests even if we manage to win, we could easily lose two carriers. That would be a very steep cost."

Then he said something which really made a whole lot of sense. "Picture if you would, the United States invading Cuba, and China had pledged to come to Cuba's defense if we did so. Cuba is right next door to us, and a half a globe away from China. The same can be said for Taiwan. Easy for China to get to, hard for us to defend."

There were many other good points which he brought up, that I will not go into. But to sum it up, he said something very sobering. "If we want a snowball's chance on being successful, we need to have 100% of our focus on China and Taiwan right now. Not Ukraine. Not the Middle East. Not Europe. Somebody else can mind the store on those regions. Our focus needs to be totally on China and Taiwan."

Slo Joe has warned Xi many times about leaving Taiwan alone. "Or what", Xi might have been thinking. As Biden himself has said recently, "There is no there, there." In other words, in the mind of Xi, we are only a paper tiger right now. Not the feared US military from years ago. Now we have a force who attends diversity classes, hunts down "white supremacists", and needs to learn new pronouns. We can't make our recruiting goals, and a large portion of our forces are not battle ready. 

When is the timeline for invasion? Some think this year. Another prediction was for 2025. In any event, it will be sometime early to mid decade. 

One final thought. If Taiwan decides to fight to the finish like Ukraine is doing, there will not be much left of Taiwan once it is over. The world semi-conductor business will be in a tailspin. And with that industry, goes the world economy. But China won't care. Teaching this misbehaving child a lesson is all that matters to them. Even if the beating required will take the child's life. But - that is the way things go in the land of the Dragon.