"Welcome 2024. Come the end of December, may we have fond memories of you. The record is a blank sheet of paper right now, just waiting to recite the good things which will happen this year. But that is the optimist in me speaking. The pessimist in me would say that 2024 will probably only be 2023 warmed over."
I can't even begin to say how many things I have heard or read as of late, which have the same theme. 2024 is going to be a year like we have never seen before. This is the year we start climbing the AI latter of learning and development. Some say this might be the year we start crossing the Rubicon, and AI will go from being a fantastic tool for us, to eventually our undoing. But I guess time will tell, as that issue does not have consensus of many of the developers.
What is this golden fleece of AI, which just about every developed country in the world is chasing right now? Don't we already have AI? Sure do. But it is considered to be rudimentary. In fact, many refer to the type of AI we have today as ANI - Artificial Narrow Intelligence. Some also refer to the AI we have today as "dumb" AI. The AI which the world is chasing right now, is the next iteration of AI - AGI (Artificial General Intelligence).
AGI is the goal for this decade. This will make our machines so smart, so self-aware, they will be able to think like humans. And they will not be narrow in scope - AGI's capabilities will be broad based. What is this going to look like? I guess we will all find out as the development continues this decade. Many think this is a "doable -do" and we are on the right path to develop AGI. But is this the rose at the end of the path? Maybe. Or it could be something which is just an idea right now. The final stage of AI.
ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) is where machines will not only think like people, but they will also be smarter than people. Is that even possible? Maybe - but that is where our development is headed. Once we get to AGI, we might find the next leap to ASI would be a bridge too far. Or - we might have the magic recipe to continue on. This is the stage which many futurists are concerned about. Where (hypothetically), our machines might find humans to be unnecessary. And then how do we unplug something which cannot be unplugged?
AI is the bright shiny penny right now, which everyone is chasing. But it is not the only technology which will rocket through the remaining years of this decade. Jobs not yet invented - will come. Jobs we have had for many, many decades - will go. The Internet of Things (IoT) will go from being a fad to reality in most households. Latency will continue to be the big thing that telecommunication companies will be stiving to reduce. 6G should be replacing 5G by the end of the decade. The name of the game with most of our technology will be cheaper, faster, and more capable. The list goes on and on.
Welcome 2024. Come the end of December, may we have fond memories of you. The record is a blank sheet of paper right now, just waiting to recite the good things which will happen this year. But that is the optimist in me speaking. The pessimist in me would say that 2024 will probably only be 2023 warmed over.
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